The SC Freiburg Files
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Predictions

SC Freiburg

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Freiburg vs Gladbach
Kickoff
Sat 12 Sept, 13:30
Oracle
56.4% / 23.0% / 20.6%
Akte SCF — Club-Dossier SC Freiburg
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Freiburg's win probability against Gladbach?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 56.4% win probability for Freiburg (home).
Where does Freiburg stand in the table?
Freiburg are 2th with 6 points after 2 matchdays. Goal difference: +4.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Freiburg's probability come from — and what moves it?

Freiburg vs Gladbach · Sat, 09/12, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home76%
Draw24%
Away0%

Freiburg: 76%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • 🟢 Freiburg home +16.4pp
Home85%
Draw14.5%
Away0.5%

Freiburg: 85% (+16.4pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home56.4%
Draw23%
Away20.6%

Freiburg: 56.4%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: +28.6pp — Pipeline model sees Freiburg stronger than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Sat 12 Sept, 06:00

Freiburg vs Gladbach Sat 12 Sept, 13:30
Freiburg 56.4% 1.71
Draw 23.0% 4.19
Gladbach 20.6% 4.68
Spread Gladbach +0.75 @ 2.01
Total O/U 3 @ 1.87 / 2.02
Margin: 3.71%
Eintracht vs Freiburg Sat 19 Sept, 13:30
Eintracht 41.4% 2.30
Draw 24.5% 3.88
Freiburg 34.1% 2.79
Spread Eintracht -0.25 @ 2.04
Total O/U 3 @ 1.81 / 2.05
Margin: 5.09%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for SC Freiburg. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 3

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 BVB 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Elversberg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +5 4
6 Bayern 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 +3 3
9 Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Werder 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Koeln 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Eintracht 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Union 3 0 1 2 -6 1
16 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Gladbach 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 HSV 2 0 0 2 -7 0