The SC Freiburg Files
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Predictions

SC Freiburg

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte SCF — Club-Dossier SC Freiburg
Predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Where does Freiburg stand in the table?
Freiburg are 1th with 13 points after 5 matchdays. Goal difference: +10.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Freiburg's probability come from — and what moves it?

Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 · Sun, 10/11, 03:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home61.6%
Draw24%
Away14.4%

Freiburg: 61.6%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • 🟢 Freiburg home +16.0pp
Home77.6%
Draw16%
Away6.4%

Freiburg: 77.6% (+16.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home57.1%
Draw24.7%
Away18.2%

Freiburg: 57.1%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: +20.5pp — Pipeline model sees Freiburg stronger than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for SC Freiburg. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 5

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 BVB 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Bayern 5 3 2 0 +12 11
4 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 +6 10
5 Leipzig 5 3 0 2 +10 9
6 Augsburg 5 2 2 1 +5 8
7 Werder 5 2 2 1 0 8
8 Mainz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Elversberg 5 2 1 2 0 7
10 Koeln 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 HSV 5 2 0 3 -10 6
13 Schalke 04 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Eintracht 5 1 2 2 -7 5
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Union 5 1 1 3 -12 4
17 Hoffenheim 5 1 0 4 -4 3
18 Gladbach 5 0 0 5 -11 0