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SC Freiburg

Prediction Intelligence
SC Freiburg

Live data for professional portfolio management, trading and predictions.

Position
2.
Points
6
Goal diff
+4
Next match
Freiburg vs Gladbach
Akte SCF — Club-Dossier SC Freiburg
Intelligence
Deutsch
At a glance

Freiburg sit 2th after matchday 3 with 6 points (2W 0D 0L, goal diff +4). Last 5 form: WW (6/15 pts). Next opponent: Gladbach (17th).

Bundesliga Table

Bundesliga table matchday 3
# Club P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 7 1 +6 6
2 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 BVB 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
4 Elversberg 2 2 0 0 7 5 +2 6
5 Mainz 2 1 1 0 5 0 +5 4
6 Bayern 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
7 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
8 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
9 Leipzig 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
10 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 5 6 -1 3
11 Werder 2 1 0 1 4 5 -1 3
12 Koeln 2 1 0 1 4 6 -2 3
13 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
14 Eintracht 2 0 1 1 4 7 -3 1
15 Union 3 0 1 2 4 10 -6 1
16 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 4 6 -2 0
17 Gladbach 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
18 HSV 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0

Top Scorers

Bundesliga Top Scorers Season 28321

  1. 1
    Younes Ebnoutalib
    Younes Ebnoutalib
    Eintracht · 22
    3 Goals
  2. 2
    Yuito Suzuki
    Yuito Suzuki
    Freiburg · 24
    3 Goals
  3. 3
    Patrik Schick
    Patrik Schick
    Leverkusen · 30
    2 Goals
  4. 4
    Serhou Guirassy
    Serhou Guirassy
    BVB · 30
    2 Goals
  5. 5
    Josha Vagnoman
    Josha Vagnoman
    Stuttgart · 25
    2 Goals
# Player Club Goals
6 Thijs Dallinga Koeln 2
7 Maurice Krattenmacher Elversberg 2
8 Tim Skarke Union 2
9 David Mokwa Elversberg 2
10 Ridle Baku Leipzig 2

Pinnacle Oracle

Freiburg Gladbach
Home 1.71
Draw 4.19
Away 4.68
Source: Pinnacle Updated:
Freiburg Gladbach
-- Days
-- Hrs
-- Min
Kickoff
Venue
Europa-Park Stadion
Competition
Bundesliga

Form & Momentum

Freiburg — Form & Home/Away

Last 5
WW
Home
3 Pts
Record: 1-0-0 Goals: 4:1
Away
3 Pts
Record: 1-0-0 Goals: 1:0

Last result: Win. Last 5 form: W-W.

The form of the last five matches is the most important leading indicator for short-term bets. A team on a three-match win streak is significantly underpriced when the odds movement hasn't yet caught up with the momentum. The Pinnacle Oracle weights this form at roughly 30 percent against table position (40 percent), home/away splits (20 percent) and opponent strength (10 percent).

Assists & Card Ranking

Bundesliga Top Assists

  1. 1
    Marco Grüll
    Marco Grüll
    Werder · 28
    2 Assists
  2. 2
    Joshua Kimmich 
    Joshua Kimmich 
    Bayern · 31
    2 Assists
  3. 3
    Ismael Saibari
    Ismael Saibari
    Bayern · 25
    2 Assists
  4. 4
    Tidiam Gomis
    Tidiam Gomis
    Leipzig · 20
    2 Assists
  5. 5
    Miguel Gutiérrez
    Miguel Gutiérrez
    Leverkusen · 25
    2 Assists
# Player Club Assists
6 Franck Honorat Gladbach 2
7 Josip Juranovic Union 2
8 Vladimír Coufal Hoffenheim 2
9 Sheraldo Becker Mainz 2
10 Christopher Nkunku Leipzig 1

Bundesliga Card Ranking (Yellow + Red×3)

  1. 1
    Ron Schallenberg
    Ron Schallenberg
    Schalke 04 · 27
    0 1
  2. 2
    Samuele Inácio
    Samuele Inácio
    BVB · 18
    0 1
  3. 3
    Ibrahim Maza
    Ibrahim Maza
    Leverkusen · 20
    2 0
  4. 4
    Phillipp Mwene
    Phillipp Mwene
    Mainz · 32
    2 0
  5. 5
    Felix Uduokhai
    Felix Uduokhai
    Union · 29
    2 0
# Player Club Y R Total
6 Zeno Van Den Bosch Union 2 0 2
7 Ozan Kabak Hoffenheim 2 0 2
8 Dayot Upamecano Bayern 1 0 1
9 Grischa Prömel Stuttgart 1 0 1
10 Amara Condé Elversberg 1 0 1

Statistical Splits BETA

What actually moves Bayern's result — and what's myth. Bootstrap confidence intervals from 68 matches of the Kompany-Ära.

Split Group A Group B Δ ppg 95% CI p-value Significance
Home games vs. away games Home 1.82 ppg · n=34 Away 1.18 ppg · n=34 +0.65 [0.03, 1.26] 0.05 🟢
Versus top-6 opponents vs. rest of the league Vs top 6 0.75 ppg · n=24 Vs rest 1.91 ppg · n=44 -1.16 [-1.72, -0.55] 0.00 🟢
With vs. without Maximilian Eggestein in the starting XI With Maximilian Eggestein 1.52 ppg · n=67 Without Maximilian Eggestein 0.00 ppg · n=1 +1.52 [1.19, 1.84] 0.00 ⬜
With vs. without Noah Atubolu in the starting XI With Noah Atubolu 1.48 ppg · n=60 Without Noah Atubolu 1.63 ppg · n=8 -0.14 [-1.17, 0.89] 0.79 🟡
With vs. without Matthias Ginter in the starting XI With Matthias Ginter 1.55 ppg · n=60 Without Matthias Ginter 1.13 ppg · n=8 +0.42 [-0.65, 1.46] 0.44 🟡
With vs. without Vincenzo Grifo in the starting XI With Vincenzo Grifo 1.65 ppg · n=52 Without Vincenzo Grifo 1.00 ppg · n=16 +0.65 [-0.06, 1.35] 0.07 🟡
With vs. without Lucas Höler in the starting XI With Lucas Höler 1.33 ppg · n=46 Without Lucas Höler 1.86 ppg · n=22 -0.54 [-1.19, 0.13] 0.11 🟡
Heavy week (after UCL/intl. break) vs. normal week Heavy week 0.00 ppg · n=0 Normal week 1.50 ppg · n=68 -1.50 — — ⬜
After UCL midweek vs. without UCL before After UCL 0.00 ppg · n=0 No UCL 1.50 ppg · n=68 -1.50 — — ⬜
Full strength (0 absences) vs. 2+ key-player absences 0 absences 1.50 ppg · n=28 2+ absences 1.33 ppg · n=12 +0.17 [-0.80, 1.11] 0.74 🟡

Reading: 🟢 statistically significant · 🟡 indicative (sample or effect too small) · ⚪ no effect detectable · ⬜ untested

ppg = points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss). Δ ppg = difference in ppg between the two groups. 95% CI = bootstrap confidence interval (10,000 resamples). p-value < 0.05 = statistically significant at n ≥ 20.

Methodology: Single-Regime-Analyse (nur Kompany-Ära). xG fehlt im Plan und ist nicht enthalten. Bootstrap-CIs statt parametrischer Tests.
Not in dataset: xG, PPDA, Distance Covered

Myth Check BETA

What fans believe — and what the data says. Every myth is tested against real match data.

Confirmed

"Bayern struggles against top-6 opponents"

Gegen Top 6: 0.75 ppg · gegen Rest: 1.909 ppg (Δ -1.159).

Prediction relevance: Adjustment -38.63pp für Top-6-Gegner.

Untested

"Midweek UCL games cost points"

Indikativ: Nach CL 0 ppg, ohne CL 1.5 ppg.

Prediction relevance: Kein klares Adjustment.

Confirmed

"Home games are different"

Heim: 1.824 ppg · Auswärts: 1.176 ppg (Δ 0.648).

Prediction relevance: Adjustment 21.6pp für Heimspiele.

Data Analysis

Auto-Generated Variante D · Spieltag 3

Bundesliga table matchday 3: Augsburg (6 pts, +6). CL places: Freiburg, BVB, Elversberg. Relegation zone: Hoffenheim (0), Gladbach (0), HSV (0). Top scorer: Younes Ebnoutalib (3 goals, Eintracht).

This analysis rotates with every matchday through eight data-driven templates: league leadership, relegation battle, Champions League race, home/away splits, form trends, attack/defence, factual summary and overall view. Every statement is grounded in SportsMonks and Pinnacle data — no speculation, no hallucination.

What the data doesn't say

Table, form and odds show the status quo. They say nothing about whether a coach is on the verge of being sacked, a key player is injured, or the board is internally under pressure. This is exactly where the Predictions page comes in: there season markets (Polymarket), transfer rumours and schedule strength feed into the assessment — factors that don't show up in any standard statistic.

The SC Freiburg File in turn provides the historical context: which crises has the club survived, which not. Anyone moving money on Bundesliga markets needs all three layers — hard stats, forward markets and institutional memory.

Frequently Asked

Where do Freiburg currently stand?
2th with 6 points after matchday 3 (2W 0D 0L, goal diff +4).
Who is Freiburg's next opponent?
Gladbach, kickoff on 2026-09-12.
Who is the Bundesliga top scorer?
Younes Ebnoutalib (Eintracht) with 3 goals in the 28321 season.
Will Freiburg be relegated?
Freiburg are currently 6 points clear of the relegation places.

Related

The data shows the status quo. What does this mean for the season?