Vitalik Buterin calls it Info Finance — the idea that markets function as information systems. Prediction markets are not betting but a tool with three functions:
We do not accept the odds of the mass market. The Pinnacle Oracle — the vig-adjusted probabilities of the world's sharpest bookmaker — serves as our truth reference. Any deviation on Polymarket or Kalshi from Pinnacle is a potential trading opportunity.
No gut feeling, but systematic alpha detection with mathematical guardrails: Fractional Kelly Criterion, portfolio diversification, and disciplined risk management.
Akte SCF is part of Akte Bundesliga — 22 club sites for all first and second division teams. The predictions and intelligence infrastructure scales to every site.
Beyond that, expansion to Europe's top leagues (Premier League, La Liga, Serie A) is planned — and to other sectors: Finance, Entertainment, Politics. Wherever events can be priced, the same principle works.
The dossier (Part 1) is based on a book production from 2020 that was not published due to the pandemic. Today's parts — especially the English edition, Intelligence, and Predictions — are independent new developments.
Authors (Dossier): Thomas Look, Sophie Hargesheimer Carsten Germann, Thomas Look, Sophie Hargesheimer & Udo Murasamp; Carsten Germann
Images: Licensed from Imago Images
Production: Marcus Brauer, Denis Tuksar